Winfield, Kansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

088
FXUS63 KICT 292325
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
625 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Warm temperatures and breezy conditions are forecast through
  the end of the week.

- Isolated rain chances are possible tonight as well as both Tuesday
  and Wednesday evenings. Severe weather is not anticipated.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 206 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026

Upper troughing remains over the western CONUS with an upper low
over the Northern Plains and an additional low over central
California. Upper ridging continues over the Great Lakes and into
the Ohio Valley. A surface low is over South Dakota with a cold
front draped down through Nebraska, connecting to a surface low in
eastern Colorado. An increased pressure gradient remains over
eastern KS into the Mississippi Valley, resulting in strong
southerly winds in our area. As such, a Wind Advisory remains in
effect for central, portions of south-central and southeast KS until
6 PM. High temperatures have rose into the 90s with heat indices
between 100-105 across the area with these values continuing into
the early evening. As we move into tonight, low temperatures will
stay about 10 to 15 degrees above normal for this time of year with
lows in the upper 70s. A slight chance (under 15%) of rain is
possible tonight mainly in central KS, though anticipating activity
to stay north of the area where the front will be. If a shower or
storm were to develop in our area, strong gusty winds are likely
given DCAPE values greater than 1600 J/kg, though with warmer
temperatures aloft, capping concerns should keep chances very low.
Additional chances will stay southwest of the area near the dryline.

Upper ridging is progged to continue building over the eastern CONUS
for much of this forecast period. Upper troughing will remain over
the western CONUS with multiple embedded shortwaves ejecting out
into the Northern Plains. This may result in slight rain chances in
central KS for both Tuesday and Wednesday evening. For Tuesday, a
front is progged to move into northern and northwestern KS. Plenty
of instability and steep mid-level lapse rates are anticipated,
though weak deep layer shear should limit severe weather potential.
Again, warmer 700 mb temperatures may limit storm chances farther
east in central KS with better chances remaining in western KS. A
similar setup is expected for Wednesday keeping storm chances very
low. Outside of this slight chances, mostly dry conditions are
forecast across the area through Saturday.

For temperatures, increasing thickness/heights rising from upper
ridging over the eastern CONUS will aid in warmer temperatures
persisting throughout the week. High temperatures are forecast for
the 90s with highs increasing to around 100 for many locations as we
move into next weekend. Heat indices for Tuesday-Thursday are
anticipated to be near/below 100 before values increase again on
Friday and into the weekend. The warmest indices are expected in
southeast KS where dewpoints in the 70s are forecast. For wind, the
increased pressure gradient from continued lee troughing will remain
through Saturday, keeping breezy southerly winds over the area.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 616 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026

Only aviation concern will be some low level speed shear
tonight.

Overall pattern is expected to remain fairy unchanged, with lee
troughing over the High Plains which will allow strong south
winds to remain. A low level jet will develop tonight which will
allow for sw winds at around 2,000ft to be around 50kts, setting
up some low level speed shear after 05z. South winds for
tomorrow afternoon are expected to be breezy, but slightly
weaker than they were today. Confidence remains high that VFR
conditions will remain through the next 24 hours.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Thursday for KSZ032-033-047>053-
067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...GC
AVIATION...RBL